Preliminary Regulatory Evaluation
and Regulatory Flexibility Act Analysis
Hours of Service NPRM
Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration
April 2000
Executive Summary
The Federal regulations governing the number of hours commercial motor vehicle
(CMV) drivers may
drive their vehicles have remained substantially unchanged for six decades.
The Federal Motor Carrier
Safety Administration (FMCSA) is considering revising these regulations to take
advantage of
improved understanding of the physiology of sleep and its relationship to human
alertness. Because of
the potentially large safety and economic impacts of the options under consideration,
the FMCSA has
completed this Regulatory Evaluation.
The FMCSA examined 5 options. Under option 1, drivers would have to be off-duty
for at least 12
consecutive hours, and could be on-duty the remaining 12 hours. There would
be no distinction
between on-duty driving time and on-duty non-driving time. Drivers would be
encouraged to begin
work at approximately the same time each day, and would be required to have
at least 58 consecutive
hours off-duty per work week.
Under option 2, most drivers would face the same requirements as under proposal
1. Long-haul and
regional drivers could work and drive up to 12 hours, and would need a minimum
of 10 consecutive
hours off-duty. The 2 additional off-duty hours could be taken during the on-duty
period or added to
the consecutive off-duty period Long-haul and regional drivers would also be
allowed to use a two
week schedule for determining weekend off-duty time, with one long
and one short weekend. Worktruck
and bus drivers would need a minimum of 11 hours off-duty, 9 of which must be
consecutive.
These drivers must stop driving within 15 hours of starting work, and could
only drive 5 hours per day.
They would be limited to 25 hours of driving per week.
Option 3 is the same as proposal 2, with the added provision that drivers would
not be allowed to drive
between the hours of midnight and 6 AM more than 18 hours per week. Option 4
is the same as
proposal 2, except that all long-haul drivers would be required to use an electronic
on-board recorder
(EOBR). Option 5 is the same as proposal 4, except both long-haul and regional
drivers must use an
EOBR.
The FMCSA estimates that fatigue is directly or indirectly involved in 15 percent
of all fatal and injury
crashes involving a large truck, contributing to 755 fatalities and 19,705 injuries
annually. We assume
that options 1 and 2 would reduce these crashes by 5 percent annually, option
3 by 7.5 percent, option
4 by 20 percent for long-haul drivers and 5 percent for other drivers, and option
5 by 20 percent for
long-haul and regional drivers and 5 percent for all other drivers. We did not
include the benefit of a
reduction in property damage only crashes.
All options would eliminate the record of duty status (RODS), reducing paperwork
by between 32 and
37 million hours annually. The removal of this paperwork requirement accounts
for between 70 and 50
percent of the overall benefit of these options.
Table ES-1 shows the costs, benefits, and crashes prevented for the 5 options.
All dollar figures are
for 10 years, at a 7 percent discount rate. Options 1 and 2 have the lowest
benefits, with costs slightly
higher than option 3, resulting in fairly high low benefits of over $1.7 billion.
Option 3 has the lowest
costs, at $2.6 billion, and net benefits of $2.4 billion. Options 4 and 5 have
high costs and benefits,
with net benefits of $2.3 and $3.4 billion, respectively.
Table ES-1
Costs and Benefits Proposals
|
Fatalities
Avoided, Annual |
Injuries
Avoided, Annual
|
Discounted
Benefits, Millions
|
Discounted
costs, Millions
|
Discounted
Net Benefits, Millions
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Option 1 | 38 | 985 | $4,418 | $2,696 | $1,721 |
| Option 2 | 38 | 985 | $4,418 | $2,696 | $1,721 |
| Option 3 | 51 | 1,478 | $5,059 | $2,636 | $2,423 |
| Option 4 | 83 | 2,153 | $5,364 | $3,083 | $2,281 |
| Option 5 | 115 | 2,995 | $6,803 | $3,444 | $3,359 |
Because the elimination
of the RODS accounts for such a large percentage of total benefits, we also
calculated the net costs and benefits independent of the paperwork benefits.
Removing this benefit
lessens the net benefits of all proposals, with all options except number 5
shifting from positive net
benefits to negative, as demonstrated in Table ES-2
Table ES-2
Costs and Benefits Excluding Paperwork Benefits
|
Discounted
Benefits, Billions |
Discounted
costs, Millions |
Net
Benefits, Millions
|
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Option 1 | $1,283 | $2,696 | ($1,413) |
| Option 2 | $1,283 | $2,696 | ($1,413) |
| Option 3 | $1,925 | $2,636 | ($711) |
| Option 4 | $2,619 | $3,083 | ($465) |
| Option 5 | $3,597 | $3,444 | $153 |
Because paperwork constitutes
such a large percent of the benefits, the options are not particularly
ES-2 sensitive to changes in the estimated value of key parameters. Sizeable
changes in the assumed percent
of crashes which are fatigue related, or in the percent of crashes that will
be prevented, have only a
minor impact on the results. Table ES-3 shows the impact of assuming that 7.5
percent of all crashes
are fatigue-related, rather than the 15 percent used throughout this analysis.
This change lowers the net
benefits of all options, with option 4 suffering the largest decline.
Table ES-3
Impact of 7.5 Percent Baseline Fatigue Related Crash Rate
| Fatal Crash Reduction | Injury Crash Reduction | Safety Benefits, Million | Net Benefits, Million | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Option 1 | 16 | 338 | $642 | $1,080 |
| Option 2 | 16 | 338 | $642 | $1,080 |
| Option 3 | 24 | 507 | $962 | $1,461 |
| Option 4 | 35 | 738 | $1,341 | $1,003 |
| Option 5 | 48 | 1,027 | $1,829 | $1,591 |
While there will be some
administrative costs required to comply with these options, the FMCSA did
not include these costs in this analysis. These costs are difficult to reliably
predict, and are generally not
significant. The FMCSA also did not estimate the number of property-damage-only
crashes prevented
by these proposals. Including these extra costs or benefits would not substantially
alter the overall
results. Additionally, property-damage-only crash information is not generally
considered reliable.
The Agencys estimate of both the baseline percent of fatigue-related crashes
and the percent reduction
in these crashes caused by the options are on the low end of the likely range.
The FMCSA chose
these conservative values to avoid biasing the results towards a particular
outcome. If significantly more
than 15 percent of crashes are fatigue related, then the benefits of any option
would be significantly
higher.
Chapter 1
Background
Since 1938, the Federal government has regulated the number of hours that commercial
motor vehicle
(CMV) drivers can work and drive. While there have been many revisions over
the last six decades,
the essence of the regulations has changed very little. Many drivers and other
industry observers
believe the current hours of service (HOS) regulations are outdated, and do
not adequately protect
either the motoring public or CMV drivers. The Federal Motor Carrier Safety
Administration
(FMCSA) is therefore considering changes to the HOS regulations. Because the
changes may have a
significant economic and safety impact, the FMCSA has prepared this regulatory
evaluation and
regulatory flexibility analysis, in accordance with Executive Order 12866 and
Department of
Transportation (DOT) policy.
Chapter 1 of this report discusses the background to this proposal, including
a brief description of the
current regulations and some shortcomings with these regulations. Also included
is a description of the
options analyzed for this proposal. Chapter 2 provides baseline vehicle and
driver information, with
detailed estimates of driver operational characteristics. Chapter 3 presents
the FMCSAs estimate of
the number of fatigue related truck crashes, including a description of some
relevant characteristics of
these crashes. Chapter 4 details the benefits of the proposals, which consist
of a reduction in fatigue
related crashes and elimination of a significant paperwork burden. Chapter 5
analyzes the costs of the
five options. Finally, chapter 6 compares the costs and benefits of the options,
and presents some
sensitivity analysis.
Background
Federal regulations divide drivers time into four categories: on-duty
driving, on-duty not driving, offduty,
and sleeper berth use. Driving time includes all time spent at the wheel of
a CMV in operation. It
includes much of the time the driver is waiting, while in control of the CMV,
to be loaded and unloaded
as well as time the vehicle is in motion. On-duty not driving time includes
all time the driver is required
to be ready to work but is not actually operating the controls of a motor vehicle.
It includes, among
other things, time inspecting the vehicle, time waiting for an assignment, time
loading or unloading the
truck, time repairing a truck, and any time the driver is engaged in an activity
for which he will be
compensated. Off-duty time includes time the driver is not on-duty. Sleeper
berth time includes only
resting and sleeping in the sleeper berth.
Current Federal HOS regulations limit driving and on-duty time, for any one
period and cumulatively.
After a minimum 8-hour off-duty period, drivers may not drive more than 10 hours,
nor may they drive
after having been on-duty (including both driving and non-driving time) more
than 15 hours. After 10
hours of driving, or being on-duty for 15 hours, a driver may not drive again
until he has a minimum of 8
hours off-duty. Drivers who work for companies which operate CMVs 7 days a week
may not drive
after having been be on duty more than 70 hours in the previous 8 days. If the
company does not
operate CMVs every day, the driver may not may not drive after having been on-duty
more than 60
hours in the previous 7 days. Drivers may take an exception to the required
8 hours off-duty period by
using a specification sleeper berth and splitting consecutive off-duty time
into two periods.
Drivers are required to keep a record of their time in a record of duty status
(RODS), commonly
known as a logbook. The RODS must show the drivers status in 15 minute
increments, as well as
certain other information. Drivers must keep a current copy of their RODS in
their possession while
driving. Drivers who operate within a 100 air-mile radius of their normal work
reporting location are
not required to maintain a RODS, but their employers must maintain a time record.
Drivers in the States of Alaska and Hawaii, as well as drivers of oil field
equipment, utility service
vehicles, construction material and equipment vehicles, farmers, and ground
water well drilling
equipment, are granted various exemptions to some of the HOS and RODS provisions.
The HOS
regulations may be found at 49 CFR part 395, with relevant definitions in $395.2.
Much of the discussion in this evaluation uses the term fatigue. Fatigue has
become a shorthand phrase
denoting sleepiness, drowsiness, and low-alertness. However, the human-factors
researcher Ivan
Brown defines fatigue as the decreased capability of doing physical or mental
work, or the subjective
state in which one can no longer perform a task effectively. Fatigue can not
be measured. What can
and has been measured is how alert a person is, how they perform on tasks requiring
sustained
attention, hand-eye coordination, and responding to changes in the environment.
Researchers have also
measured changes in how the body functions, including brain wave patterns, and
eyelid position, that
relate to how alert or drowsy a person is. Because of its more common usage,
this document generally
uses the term fatigue.
There are two distinct but related safety issues concerning the existing HOS
regulations. First,
compliance with the regulations does not necessarily ensure that drivers are
adequately rested and alert
Drivers may comply fully with the regulations and still suffer from severe fatigue.
Second, many drivers
do not comply with these regulations. Numerous surveys and much anecdotal evidence
indicate that
many drivers violate the HOS regulations. These non-compliant drivers are especially
susceptible to
fatigue.
Moreover, a driver may be fully compliant with HOS regulations and not be sufficiently
rested.
Researchers understanding of sleep has improved dramatically since the original
HOS rules were
written. Researchers have examined the biology and physiology of sleep, the
mechanics of circadian
rhythms, differences between daytime and nighttime rest, and the effects of
cumulative sleep
deprivation, among other things. There is evidence that the existing HOS regulations
do not comport
well with this scientific understanding of the role and structure of sleep,
and, when used to set minimum
off-duty periods rather than maximum driving periods, might actually promote
drivers fatigue.
According to an expert panel of sleep researchers and transportation safety
experts convened by the
FHWA, ...the hours of service regulations are sorely inconsistent with
the best available information
today. (Expert Panel Report).
The FHWA convened an expert panel to review the current state of knowledge about
sleep and
fatigue, and to examine HOS options presented by the Agency. The expert panel
included eight
researchers expert in traffic safety, human factors, and sleep medicine. Panel
members, who work in
academia, government, safety organizations, and as private consultants, were
provided summaries of
over 80 (mostly peer reviewed) research reports compiled by the FHWA. The panel
was asked to
evaluate the current regulations and various proposals in light of the scientific
understanding of sleep and
alertness. This section describes some of the findings of the Expert Panel,
particularly the discussion of
the inadequacies of the present regulations. The complete Expert Panel Report
may be found in the
public docket.
One major concern of the panel was the absence of consideration of a 24 hour
cycle in the HOS
regulations. Human evolution responded to the natural light cycle, and human
biology continues to
exhibit strong cyclical effects. Human metabolism, and thus alertness, shows
daily 24-hour patterns,
including primary and secondary peaks and troughs. These peaks and troughs appear
independent of
the effects of light, indicating that they are deeply embedded in the human
physiology. Since 1962,
HOS regulations have had no 24 hour component. A driver could conceivably drive
from midnight to
10 AM, rest from 10 AM to 6 PM, then resume driving until 4 AM the following
day. This shortens
the day by up to 6 hours, equivalent to an east-to-west transatlantic flight
in terms of jet lag.
Another concern of the Panel was the difference between daytime and nighttime
driving. The Panels
report noted several problems associated with nighttime driving. First, as demonstrated
by the Driver
Fatigue and Alertness Study (Wylie et al), the strongest and most consistent
factor influencing fatigue
and alertness was time of day. Night driving was associated with a higher level
of observed
drowsiness, poorer lane-tracking, and degradation of mental performance. In
addition, the Panel noted
evidence suggesting that daytime sleep is not as restorative as nighttime sleep,
with both fewer hours
generally spent sleeping and a lower quality of sleep. Drivers generally agree
that nighttime sleep is
superior to daytime sleep (Abrams et al.). The result is that overall alertness
and performance is lower
in the nighttime than in the day, and crash risk is correspondingly higher.
The Panels report cites
evidence suggesting that nighttime driving is associated with as much as a 4-fold
or more increase in
fatigue-related crashes. The existing regulations make no distinction between
day and nighttime driving.
The Panel noted the importance of continuous time off-duty. They reported that
sleep obtained in
discontinuous segments is not as restorative as continuous sleep. The Expert
Panel also cited studies
which demonstrate that longer periods of off-duty time are associated with longer
periods of sleep. The
current regulations require that drivers have at least 8 continuous hours off-duty
before returning to
duty The Expert Panel criticized this requirement as inadequate, because it
does not allow drivers time
to travel to a resting place or to take care of personal needs, and because
8 hours off-duty time
generally does not translate into 8 hours of sleep. Wylie showed that people
who are off-duty for 8
hours generally only obtain about 5 hours of sleep (Wylie et al).
The Panel also asserted that there should be no differentiation between driving
time and on-duty notdriving
time. They cited several studies which show that performance of tasks declines
with increased
time on duty, regardless of how on-duty time is spent. The panel believes that
all on-duty time should
be treated the same, as the effect on driver safety is similar.
The Panel agreed that limits on cumulative on-duty time were required, because
drivers might not get
adequate rest, even if they have sufficient opportunity to rest on a daily basis.
Like all workers, drivers
have non-work responsibilities which may lessen the amount of time devoted to
rest on a specific day,
and it is often difficult to catch up on missing sleep. According to the panel,
this can result in cumulative
fatigue.
Related to a limit on cumulative on-duty time is the need for adequate recovery
time. Because sleep
loss is cumulative, it cannot be remedied by a single nights rest. The
Driver Fatigue and Alertness
study and other research demonstrated the prevalence of cumulative sleep deprivation
in the motor
carrier industry, with average sleep lengths of just under 4 to 5.5 hours. The
Expert Panel also cited
research which shows that nighttime sleep is more efficient than daytime sleep,
with more time in bed
spent sleeping. Therefore, the Panel recommended that any new regulations must
allow for at least one
off-duty period every seven days which encompasses two midnight to 6 AM periods.
The panel commented on the need for drivers to have advance knowledge of their
work schedule, and
on the specific issues related to sleeper berth use and split shift driving.
As noted above, the Expert
Panel report is available for review in the public docket.
While drivers who abide by the HOS rules may be fatigued, the situation of drivers
who are not in
compliance is undeniably worse. Whatever the limitations of, for example, 5
to 6 hours of interrupted
sleep, it is clearly more restorative than no sleep. Unfortunately, many drivers
violate the HOS
regulations. The Insurance Institute for Highway Safety (IIHS) interviewed over
1,200 drivers at truck
stops, truck inspections stations, and agricultural inspection stations in the
early 1990s. Based on the
drivers responses, the authors classified 73% of the drivers as hours-of-service
violators (Braver et
al.). A 1995 survey of over the road drivers in New York State found that over
one-third reported
driving more than 60 hours in a typical week, and a similar proportion reported
working 70 hours in a
typical week. More than 40 percent of respondents reported always/often/sometimes
driving more
than ten consecutive hours without 8 hours off-duty (McCartt et al.). A more
recent survey performed
by the University of Michigans Trucking Industry Program (UMTIP) corroborated
this high violation
rate. UMTIP surveyed over 800 mostly over-the-road drivers at a number of truck
stops in the
midwest in 1997. Only 16% of drivers surveyed reported that log books were generally
accurate, and
56% stated that they had worked more hours than recorded in their RODS in the
last 30 days. The
average driver worked over 64.3 hours in the previous 7 days. Twenty five percent
of drivers reported
working at least 75 hours in the last 7 days, and 10% of drivers reported working
more than 90 hours.
The UMTIP survey is described at greater length in Chapter 2.
Thus, drivers who comply with the HOS regulations may still not be adequately
rested, and the
significant percentage who do not comply are assuredly not rested.
Other organizations have also indicated their concern over driver fatigue, and
their concomitant belief
that the present hours of service regulations do not adequately ensure that
drivers are rested. Driver
fatigue was voted the number one safety concern of the 1995 Truck and Bus Safety
Summit, a meeting
of over 200 drivers, motor carrier representatives, government officials, and
safety advocates. The
National Transportation Safety Board has asked the FHWA to investigate and promulgate
new
regulations to combat driver fatigue, and Congress has mandated that the FHWA
issue a rule dealing
with a variety of fatigue-related issues in the ICC Termination Act of
1995.
Proposals
Improved understanding of the mechanics of fatigue from sleep research, intense
interest expressed by
Congress and others, and the perceived widespread violation of the existing
hours-of-service
regulations prompted the FMCSA to consider changing them. As was noted above,
the underlying
goal of the current regulations is to prevent drivers from driving more than
a certain number of hours per
day and week. The lodestar of the proposals under consideration is to assure
that drivers have an
opportunity to obtain sufficient rest. The options are described below.
Option 1 12/12
Under this proposal, all drivers must have a minimum of 12 consecutive hours
off-duty in every 24 hour
period, and may work for the other 12 hours. Rest and meal breaks within the
12 hour work period
would not count as off-duty time. Drivers must also have at least 58 hours of
consecutive off-duty time
every week, including a minimum of two midnight to 6 AM periods. This would
allow for more than 2
full days off to obtain quality, uninterrupted, restorative sleep.
Motor carriers would be encouraged to start drivers work days approximately
the same time each day,
with some leeway. Motor carriers wouId be encouraged to limit drivers backwards
rotating their shifts
to no more than 1 hour a day, with no limits on forward shifting. A driver who
works from 6 AM to 3
PM Monday, and then takes the required 12 hours off, should not begin work again
until 5 AM
Tuesday, even though he accumulates 12 consecutive hours off-duty by 3 AM. In
this case, the driver
would be encouraged to take 14 consecutive hours off-duty, since the recommendation
on backward
shifting schedules would prevent him from starting before 5 AM.
Although backward rotation is disruptive of drivers circadian rhythm, as noted
previously, the FMCSA
does not currently propose to ban the practice. The Agency does not believe
the scientific community
has reached a consensus on the magnitude of the harm to drivers from a backwards
rotating schedule.
While credible research agrees on the undesirability of this practice, it is
not clear how large a role
backwards rotating schedules, in isolation, play in fatigue-related crashes.
The FMCSA considered mandating the regularity practices outlined above, but
the costs were found to
be unexpectedly high. Given the high costs and the uncertainty over the importance
of irregularity, the
FMCSA refrained from requiring regularity. Nonetheless, the Agency does encourage
drivers and
motor carriers to ensure that driving begins at approximately the same time
each day.
All the options change the definition of on-duty and off-duty time to be consistent
with Department of
Labor (DOL) regulations governing the minimum wage, since most employed drivers
are subject to the
minimum wage provisions of the Fair Labor Standards Act (FLSA). By adopting
the DOLs
definitions, the FMCSA will be able to rely largely on DOL-required paperwork
to enforce the HOS
regulations.
Because the FMCSA proposes to rely primarily on DOL-required paperwork, drivers
would no longer
have to prepare an RODS. Instead, on-duty and off-duty time would be monitored
by a DOLrequired
time card or sheet, which includes the time a driver checks into and out of
work. Time cards
would be kept at the drivers normal work reporting station, and most drivers
would not have to carry
their time card while driving. Because of their extended absence from their
normal work reporting
stations, long haul and regional drivers would be required to have a current
time card, with annotations
of the locations where they change their duty status, on their vehicles while
driving.
Option 2
For most drivers, option 2 is the same as option 1. The majority of drivers
must have 12 consecutive
hours off-duty However, this option provides alternatives for two groups of
drivers: (1) long haul and
regional drivers, and (2) split shift drivers and work truck and bus drivers.
Long-haul and regional drivers must have a minimum of 12 hours off-duty, 10
of which must be
consecutive. These drivers would be allowed to drive for up to 12 hours. Two
of the off-duty hours
could be either contiguous with the 10 consecutive off-duty hours, or taken
during the 12 hours of
driving.
Long-haul and regional drivers would also have a choice in calculating weekly
driving time. They could
follow the procedure outlined in Option 1, whereby they would need 58 consecutive
off-duty hours,
including 2 consecutive midnight to 6 AM periods, at the end of the work week.
Alternately, they
could use a two week schedule. Under the two week schedule, drivers would have
one short and one
long weekend. For the short weekend, drivers would need 32 hours
of consecutive off-duty time,
including 2 consecutive midnight to 6 AM periods. After the short weekend, the
driver could drive up
to an additional 48 hours over the next 4 days, but then would require 82 consecutive
hours off-duty,
including 2 consecutive midnight to 6 AM periods, before returning to work.
Work truck and bus drivers are those who spend less than one third of their
on-duty time driving a
truck or bus. This category excludes drivers for for-hire motor carriers of
passengers. These drivers
may only drive 5 hours per day, with a weekly maximum of 30 hours. They must
have at least 9
consecutive off-duty hours per day, and 2 additional off-duty hours which may
be either contiguous
with the 9 hour off-duty period, or taken during the drivers work period.
Work truck and bus drivers
may work up to 13 hours a day, and they are not allowed to drive 15 hours after
beginning work.
Work truck and bus drivers must also have a minimum of two midnight to 6 AM
off-duty periods per
week.
Option 3 - Option 2 with exemptions and nighttime differential
This is the same as option 2, except all drivers would be limited to a maximum
of 18 hours of driving
per week between the hours of midnight and 6 AM. The purpose of this option
is to limit the number of
hours driving in the middle of the night, because of abundant evidence which
indicates that this is the
most fatiguing period for drivers.
Option 4 - Long-Haul Drivers must use an EOBR
This is the same as option 2, except long-haul drivers must use an electronic
on-board recorder
(EOBR). The EOBR will allow companies and enforcement officers to more accurately
monitor
drivers compliance with the hours-of-service regulations.
Long haul carriers which employ fewer than 20 drivers must use an EOBR within
4 years of
promulgation of a final rule. Carriers with 21 to 49 drivers would have 3 years
to comply, and those
with more 50 drivers would need an EOBR within 2 years.
Local and work truck drivers will be allowed to use the DOL time card. Because
of their extended
absence from their reporting location, regional drivers will be required to
continue to use the existing
RODS. Likewise, long haul carriers must continue to use the RODS until they
begin using an EOBR.
Option 5 - Long-Haul and Regional Drivers must Use an EOBR
This is the same as option 2, except both long-haul and regional drivers must
use an EOBR. These
carriers must continue to use the RODS until they begin using an EOBR.
Options
As mentioned above, the
linchpin of all these options is to allow drivers adequate consecutive off-duty
time to obtain sufficient rest. Science indicates that there is no precise length
of time all drivers can
operate safely. That point varies with the amount and quality of sleep a driver
has obtained. Drivers
who have had only three hours of sleep in the last 24 hours, for example, are
far less likely to drive
safely, for as many hours, as their counterparts who have slept 10 of the previous
24 hours. So rather
than focus on a maximum driving limit, the FMCSA proposes to establish minimum
opportunity-to-rest
times.
As a result of this proposed focus, some drivers may be able to drive more hours
in a work-rest cycle
than are currently permitted. For example, while drivers are currently limited
to 10 hours of driving
before taking an 8-hour break, under these proposals some drivers could drive
as many as 12 hours
before stopping. There are several reasons the Agency believe that this would
not increase driver
fatigue.
First, although drivers are currently limited to 10 hours of driving, they may
drive during, or after, their
12 hour on-duty Individuals who begin their work shift with non-driving
on-duty tasks, which include
such strenuous activities as loading or unloading trailers, may end up driving
into the 15 hour on-duty
The expert panel noted that there should be no distinction between driving and
other non-driving onduty
tasks, arguing that cumulative hours on duty increases fatigue.
Research suggests that crash risk
increases with on-duty time, rather than time on a specific task.
Second, a driver may drive as many as 16 hours in a 24 hour period under the
current regulations. As
noted previously, a driver may drive 10 hours, take 8 hours off duty, and then
continue driving for
another 10 hours. This equals 16 out of 24 hours, and 20 out of 28. By contrast,
the proposed
options would limit drivers to 12 out of 24 hours (or fewer, for many drivers).
Third, the options would require that drivers obtained between 9 and 12 consecutive
hours off-duty,
depending on the driver type and option. Currently, drivers are only required
to have 8 consecutive
hours off-duty, which often does not leave sufficient time for rest (Wylie et
al).
Fourth, the weekly limitations proposed guarantee that drivers obtain sufficient
cumulative rest, and that
some of that rest takes place in the midnight to 6 AM period, when sleep is
most restorative. The
existing HOS regulations make no distinction between daytime and nighttime driving.
Finally, as noted above, these proposals also encourage drivers to begin work
at approximately the
same time each day, and to obtain sufficient cumulative rest at the end of each
work week. Research
indicates this combination will enhance drivers overall levels of rest
and attentiveness.
Thus, while the Agency understands that these proposals may result in some drivers
driving for longer
periods than are now allowed, we believe the cumulative effect of these changes
will be increased
driver alertness and safety.
While drivers who comply with the regulations should be more rested, potential
violations must also be
addressed. We believe that this proposal will result in fewer violators, and
those who continue to
exceed the maximum allowable hours will still be subject to FMCSA fines and
other penalties. A
frequent comment made at the thirteen nationwide outreach sessions held in support
of the zero-base
review of the FMCSRs was the need to make the regulations more understandable.
These proposals
are simpler and more comprehensible than the existing standards The Agency is
proposing to simplify
the regulations by eliminating the on-duty not driving category, making many
drivers subject to a simple
12/12 schedule, and removing the log book requirement. We believe that people
are more likely to
comply with rules which are easier to understand and that fit their physiological
needs.
In addition, Options 4 and 5, which require that certain drivers use EOBRs,
will make it more difficult
for drivers to violate the HOS regulations. EOBRs must produce a paper printout
or other format
which can be read at the roadside. This output will allow enforcement officers
to determine the number
of hours the vehicle has been in operation, and when the operation began Enforcement
officers will
have a minimum of two accurate data points, which will make it easy to determine
how long a driver
has been on-duty. It may still be possible for drivers to conceal the number
of their driving hours, but
the use of an EOBR will make it significantly more difficult to do so. EOBRs
will also allow motor
carriers to better monitor drivers driving time. Accordingly, the FMCSA
assumes that options 4 and 5
will lead to a greater reduction in fatigue-related crashes than the other three
options.
Many drivers have argued that the current regulations do not comport with their
schedules, forcing them
to violate the hours-of-service regulations. Specifically, the fact that drivers
are often not on a 24-hour
cycle skews their natural sleep/wake patterns, which may not be aligned with
their driving hours.
Drivers may be required to go off-duty when they are not tired, or they may
have to continue driving
during a circadian trough. Some drivers choose not to go off duty and violate
the HOS regulations
rather than discontinue driving if they do not feel tired. By encouraging drivers
to operate on a 24-hour
schedule, drivers driving schedules and circadian rhythms should be more
nearly congruent, lessening
the tendency for drivers to drive over hours and while fatigued.
While work truck and bus drivers are allowed the least driving time, they may
have the greatest amount
of time on-duty. A work truck driver could be on duty for 65 hours in a week,
and may operate a
CMV up to 15th hours after commencing work. The FMCSA is proposing these more
lenient
provisions because of these drivers reduced risk of fatigue-related accidents.
Research indicates that
these drivers are an order of magnitude less likely to be involved in a fatigue-related
crash than are
other drivers. Chapter 3 describes the research in more detail.
Chapter 2
Baseline Vehicle and Driver Data
The regulatory options under consideration distinguish between drivers based
on the characteristics of
their operations. Therefore, the FMCSA generated estimates of the number of
vehicles and drivers in
the relevant categories. This chapter presents these estimates, as well as information
on driver
characteristics.
While the Agency is reasonably confident in the estimate of the total number
of drivers, there is more
uncertainty about the distribution of drivers by operational type. The options
envision 5 classes of
drivers: long haul drivers, regional drivers, split-shift drivers, work-truck
drivers, and local non-work
drivers There is no publicly available data which classifies drivers into these
categories, so the
FMCSA developed them from data collected for other purposes.
The FMCSA relied largely on data from the Truck Inventory and Use Survey (TIUS),
a survey
conducted every five years by the Bureau of the Census of the U.S. Department
of Commerce. TIUS
is described in detail in Appendix A. The 5 driver categories were culled down
to 4, because no data
is available on split-shift drivers. We assumed that vehicles with an average
trip distance of more than
500 miles are long haul, those with average trip distances of between 200 and
500 miles are regional,
and those less than 200 miles are either local or work trucks, depending on
their primary use and
vehicle body type. These simplifying assumptions are reasonable but not unassailable.
Therefore,
results pertaining to costs and benefits by type of operation are considered
less reliable than overall
results.
1) Number of Drivers and Vehicles
The number of drivers was based on data from the FHWAs 1996 Controlled
Substances and Alcohol
Testing Survey, supplemented by information from the Motor Carrier Management
Information System
(MCMIS) census file. The survey is a statistical sample of several thousand
motor carriers selected
from the MCMIS file, and it included a question about the number of CDL-drivers
employed. These
data and sampling weights from the survey were used to generate an estimate
of CDL drivers. This
number was multiplied by the ratio of non-CDL to CDL drivers from MCMIS to estimate
non-CDL
drivers, and the numbers were summed to generate a total. The FMCSA estimates
that there are 6.4
million interstate and intrastate CMV drivers subject to the current hours of
service regulations.
This regulatory analysis includes both interstate and intrastate drivers. While
the current HOS
regulations only apply to interstate drivers, all States have adopted compatible
regulations governing
intrastate drivers. 48 States and the District of Columbia receive grant money
through the FMCSAs
Motor Carrier Safety Assistance Program (MCSAP). One requirement of participation
in MCSAP is
that the State adopt MCSAP compatible regulations. Accordingly, the FMCSA believes
that most
States will adopt regulations substantially similar to what the Agency chooses.
Therefore, the options
under consideration will effectively regulate both interstate and intrastate
drivers, and both have been
included in this analysis.
The FMCSA categorized the 6.4 million drivers by operational type, compatible
with the definitions in
the HOS options. Vehicle data from the TIUS was used. The 1992 TIUS, the most
recent survey
completed, obtained detailed physical and operational data on more than one
hundred and twenty five
thousand trucks. After eliminating trucks under 10,000 pound gross vehicle weight
rating (GVWR)
from the sample, vehicles were stratified based on the percent of miles accounted
for by various trip
lengths. Missing data were distributed based on the distribution for similar
non-missing vehicles.
Single-unit trucks with predominately short trips were stratified as work trucks
or non-work trucks,
based on the trucks repotted major use. The FMCSA assumed that drivers
were distributed
proportionately to trucks, which resulted in the following driver counts.
Table 1
Number of Drivers by Operation Type
| Operation Type | Number |
|---|---|
| Work Truck | 1,190,740 |
| Non-work Local | 3,997,023 |
| Regional | 823,863 |
| Long Haul | 424,804 |
| Total | 6,436,430 |
Appendix A explains in detail the process used to generate the number and distribution of drivers.
We also used TIUS to develop estimates of the vehicle miles traveled (VMT) by
trip distance and
vehicle type. Because the Trucks Involved in Fatal Accidents (TIFA) file uses
the same trip distance
definitions as TIUS, these estimates allow us to analyze differences in risk
for fatal crashes, including
both fatigue- and non-fatigue-related crashes. TIUS respondents report the percent
of miles in each
trip category, as well as the total number of miles driven. These figures were
multiplied for each
vehicle, then summed to yield a total. A given vehicle could have some miles
in each of the trip
distances listed below (although this was not often the case). Estimates are
presented in Table 2.
Table 2
100 Million Vehicle Miles Traveled by Power Unit Type and Trip Distance
| <50 | 50-100 | 100-200 | 200-500 | >500 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Straight, miles | 202 | 83 | 31 | 17 | 7 | 340 |
| Straight, percent | 59.41% | 24.41% | 9.12% | 5.00% | 2.06% | 100.00% |
| Tractor, miles | 82 | 103 | 107 | 162 | 236 | 690 |
| Tractor, percent | 11.88% | 14.93% | 15.51% | 23.48% | 34.20% | 100.00% |
| Total miles | 284 | 186 | 138 | 179 | 243 | 1,030 |
| Percent | 27.6% | 18.1% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 23.6% | 100.0% |
Straight trucks and tractors
are used differently. Almost 60 percent of straight trucks have a most
frequent trip distance of less than 50 miles, compared to just 12 percent of
tractors. At the other
extreme, tractors accumulate over one third of their miles in trips of greater
than 500 miles, compared
to one in 50 miles for straight trucks.
Partly because of the difference of travel between straight trucks and tractors,
the distribution of trucks
differs considerably from the distribution of travel. Regional and long haul
trucks (those with a most
frequent trip distance of more than 200 miles) account for over 40% of miles
but just 13% of vehicles.
The breakdown of trucks by most frequent trip distance is presented in the following
table.
Table 3
Truck Registrations by Power Unit Type and Trip Distance
| <50 | 50-100 | 100-200 | 200-500 | >500 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Straight | 2,215,105 | 356,653 | 98,398 | 40,772 | 22,768 | 2,733,696 |
| Tractor | 341,666 | 206,752 | 148,517 | 201,297 | 243,334 | 1,141,566 |
| Total | 2,556,771 | 563,405 | 246,915 | 242,069 | 266,102 | 3,875,262 |
| Percent | 66.0% | 14.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 100.0% |
Additional information on
the development of these numbers can be found in the UMTRI report in the
public docket.
2) Baseline Driver Survey Information
The FMCSA relied extensively on a driver survey conducted by the University
of Michigan Trucking
Industry Program (UMTIP) to analyze the costs of the proposed options. The DOT
did not sponsor
this survey, and therefore some of the definitions do not precisely match those
in the NPRM. This
section describes the survey and presents summary information on the results.
While most of the text is
based on the following tables, some of this discussion relies on information
not included in this
evaluation. The UMTIP survey analysis has been placed in the docket.
The driver survey used a two-stage randomized design in five Midwestern states.
UMTIP selected
truck stops at random from the population of buck stops in these states, stratified
based on the number
of parking spaces for trucks as a proxy for truck traffic. Subjects were chosen
at random (every nti
individual who walked through the door). The survey took approximately 45 minutes
and drivers were
paid $20 to participate. The response rate was 60% (including conversions for
those who had
insufficient time at the truck stop but were interviewed at home). An additional
6% response was
achieved using a five minute questionnaire. UMTIP also surveyed drivers who
were refueling to
confirm sample validity, and achieved an 96% response rate.
Drivers were asked if they were local or long haul. Drivers who called themselves
local were classified
accordingly. Drivers who called themselves long haul drivers were so classified
if their average trip
length was greater than 500 miles; otherwise they were categorized as regional.
These definitions are
used throughout this section. However, the reported traveled distances may be
high, especially for
local drivers. It is extremely unlikely that local drivers actually drive more
than 80,000 miles per year,
as reported in the survey. The survey most likely undersamples local drivers,
as they are unlikely to
stop at truck stops. Those who do, regardless of how they categorize themselves,
are not likely to be
representative of most local drivers. Therefore, we did not use these definitions
in the analysis in
Chapter 5. We believe that both long haul and regional drivers in the survey
are likely to fit the
NPRMs definition of long haul drivers. In this evaluation, long haul driver
characteristics (such as
wages and hours worked) are assumed to equal an average of those reported for
long haul and regional
drivers in the survey. Likewise, we assumed that local drivers in the survey
are most likely to match the
NPRMs definition of other (non-long haul, non-work truck) drivers.
Table 4 shows the trends for mileage driven by individual drivers. The average
driver covers 112,765
miles annually, and long-haul drivers drive 124,475 miles. Means exceed medians,
demonstrating the
extent to which high mileage figures dominate. Indeed, the top 25 percent of
all long haul drivers
reported exceeding 150,000 miles and ten percent exceeded 170,000 miles.
Table 4
Annual Miles
|
Full
Survey
|
Full Survey, Local Drivers | Full Survey, Regional Drivers | Full Survey, Long Haul Drivers | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| mean | 112,765 | 82,065 | 130,617 | 124,475 |
| 10th pct | 60,000 | 25,000 | 50,000 | 78,000 |
| 25th pct | 90,352 | 50,000 | 80,000 | 100,000 |
| median | 110,000 | 80,000 | 100,000 | 120,000 |
| 75th pct | 130,000 | 125,000 | 125,000 | 150,000 |
| 90th pct | 160,000 | 130,000 | 145,000 | 170,000 |
| Obs | 451 | 49 | 113 | 281 |
The report also shows that
employee drivers drive 5.8 percent more miles than do owner-operators,
and that union drivers run nearly 7 percent fewer miles.
The driver survey shows that, on average, drivers worked 64.3 hours in the past
seven days, including
driving and on-duty-not-driving. The survey also shows, somewhat surprisingly,
that local drivers work
as many hours as do long-haul drivers. We suspect this is probably because of
the lack of
representativeness of local drivers in the survey discussed above. In any case,
the data presented in
Table 5 suggest a broad pattern of violation, with the top 10 percent of all
drivers averaging 94 hours,
including a 97 hour average for local drivers. At the median, only the local
drivers stay below the 60
hour limit and regional drivers hit that limit exactly.
Table 5
Hours Worked in Last 7 Days
|
Full
Survey
|
Full Survey, Local | Full Survey, Regional | Full Survey, Long Haul | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| mean | 64.3 | 65.0 | 62.6 | 65.0 |
| 10th pct | 36.0 | 44.0 | 38.0 | 33.0 |
| 25th pct | 50.0 | 45.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| median | 62.0 | 58.0 | 60.0 | 65.0 |
| 75th pct | 75.0 | 72.0 | 70.0 | 80.0 |
| 90th pct | 94.0 | 97.0 | 88.0 | 96.0 |
| Obs | 451 | 49 | 113 | 281 |
Again, non-union and employee
drivers work longer hours than either union members or owner
operators.
The following two tables report hours working and driving in the last 24 hours.
They reveal a direct, if
modest, relationship between the number of hours worked per day and the length
of trip taken by the
driver. Long-haul drivers work the greatest number of hours; at the mean, long
haul drivers work 12
percent more hours during any single day than do regional drivers, and 15 percent
more hours on any
single day than do local drivers. Not surprisingly, they also drive more of
those hours and spend less of
their time in any given day performing non-driving labor. At the mean, long-haul
drivers perform nondriving
work 23 percent of their time, while comparable figures for regional and local
drivers are 25
percent and 37 percent.
Table 6 suggests that many drivers may routinely exceed the daily hours-of-service
rules. At the 75th
percentile, long-haul drivers are working 15.5 hours. At the 90th percentile
long haul drivers work I9
hours, leaving only 5 in the last 24 for non-work activity. This suggests that
a significant percentage of
all long-haul drivers may be in daily violation of the HOS limits. As noted
above, other studies have
also found high violation levels.
Table 6
Hours Worked in the Last 24
| All | Local | Regional | Long Haul | Reg+LH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| obs | 436 | 45 | 107 | 278 | 385 |
| mean | 11.35 | 10.38 | 10.63 | 11.93 | 11.28 |
| 10th pct | 5.5 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5.5 |
| 25th pct | 8 | 8.25 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| median | 11 | 10.25 | 10.5 | 11.5 | 11 |
| 60th pct | 11.5 | 12.5 | 12 | ||
| 70th pct | 12.5 | 14.35 | 13.4 | ||
| 80th pct | 13.5 | 115.5 | 14.5 | ||
| 90th pct | 18 | 16 | 16 | 18.5 | 17.5 |
Table 7
Hours Driven and Worked in the Last 24
| All | Local | Regional | Long Haul | Reg + LH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obs | 436 | 45 | 107 | 278 | 385 |
| Mean Driving Hrs | 8.33 | 6.6 | 7.87 | 8.95 | 8.41 |
| Median Driving Hrs | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 8.5 |
| Mean Non-Drive Work | 3.02 | 3.78 | 2.76 | 2.98 | 2.87 |
| Median Non-Drive Work | 2 | 3 | 2.25 | 2 | 2.1 |
| Ratio Mean Non-Drive/Mean Drive Time | 26% | 37% | 23% | 17% | 20% |
| Ratio Median Non-Drive/Median Drive Time | 21% | 33% | 23% | 17% | 20% |
Table 8 shows that long-haul
drivers put in the most work time per trip, and their trips are considerably
longer than those of their local or regional counterparts. However, long-haul
drivers spend a
disproportionately large percentage of their time waiting during trips. The
average driver waits more
than twice as many hours as he performs non-driving work, but the distribution
is skewed. Local
drivers wait somewhat less than they work (possibly because they are usually
paid by the hour) but long
haul drivers wait almost three times as long as they perform non-driving work.
A great deal of efficiency is lost when drivers spend their on-duty time waiting.
While drivers are
arguably creating value when they are working loading or unloading a truck,
they are not creating any
value when they are waiting for a dispatch or delivery This inefficient use
of their time is the source of a
great deal of slack in the system. Many drivers are not paid directly for this
time, or earn a very small
piece-work rate for activities. The Fair Labor Standards Act requires that employees
be paid for all
time they work or are engaged to wait, which includes time drivers
spend waiting for a dispatch or
for a vehicle to be unloaded. Drivers weekly wages must be high enough
that they receive the
minimum wage for all hours worked, including both driving and waiting time.
Therefore, employee
drivers may be legally paid for waiting time, but their marginal pay is generally
close to zero. Piece
work drivers (those paid by the mile or the load) would generally receive the
same pay whether they
waited 10 hours for a dispatch or 1 hour. As long as the drivers cumulative
pay results in an average
hourly rate equal to, or greater than, the minimum wage, the drivers employer
is in compliance with the
relevant provisions of the FLSA. However, because marginal hourly pay equals
zero, drivers perceive
this time as unpaid, a perception that most economists would support. Accordingly,
this discussion
refers to this time as unpaid, while making no judgement about compliance with
the FLSA.
This unproductive time is relatively costless to the shipper, consignee, and
the trucking company, but
represents a significant opportunity cost to the driver. The economic cost is
reflected in high turnover
and low human capital investment, as well as a tendency for drivers to pack
in working (mainly driving)
hours in addition to unpaid waiting time to make up for their lost earnings.
Table 8
Time Working and Waiting in the Last Trip
| All | Local | Regional | Long Haul | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| mean hrs worked | 22.5 | 8.3 | 13.8 | 29.6 |
| median hrs worked | 14.5 | 7.7 | 10.3 | 20.5 |
| mean minutes wait | 282.9 | 73.7 | 196.7 | 372 |
| median minutes wait | 90 | 30 | 60 | 120 |
| mean minutes non-drive work | 117.8 | 94.6 | 109.3 | 126.6 |
| median minutes not-drive work | 60 | 60 | 45 | 60 |
| mean wait as % non-drive work | 71% | 44% | 64% | 67% |
| median wait as % non-drive work | 60% | 33% | 57% | 67% |
Drivers clearly spend a
significant proportion of their on-duty time on non-driving tasks. When this
time
is unpaid, it may contribute to excessive hours, as drivers may illegally log
unpaid time as off duty.
Table 9 shows paid time as a percent of all non-driving time, and indicates
that much non-driving work
time is unpaid. At the mean, 29 percent of ail non-driving time is paid, but
at the median the percentage
of paid time is zero. This means that more than half of all drivers earn nothing
for this labor. Most
union drivers are paid for their time, as 72.7 percent of the union drivers
time is paid at the median,
while for non-union drivers, at the median their ratio of paid time to total
non-driving time is zero
percent. At the 75 percentile 70.6 percent of the non-union drivers
total non-driving time is paid,
while the corresponding figure for union drivers is 100 percent. Owner-operators
have an even worse
problem than do ordinary non-union drivers, as at the 901b percentile only 66.7
percent of their total
non-driving time is paid. (These data are not included in this table, but can
be found in the complete
report in the docket).
Table 9
Paid Time as a Percent of Total Non-Driving Time
| Mean | Median | Number | |
|---|---|---|---|
| All |
29.0%
|
0%
|
312
|
| Local |
50.0%
|
40.0%
|
29
|
| Regional |
35.0%
|
0.0%
|
78
|
| Long Haul |
22.1%
|
0.0%
|
201
|
| OTR Employees |
31.6%
|
0.0%
|
199
|
| OTR Owner-Operators |
12.6%
|
0.0%
|
82
|
| Union Employees |
57.4%
|
72.7%
|
31
|
| Non-Union Employees |
31.2%
|
0.0%
|
201
|
| Paid Time as % of Non-Drivetime, All Drivers |
29.0%
|
0.0%
|
312
|
| Paid time as % of Non-Drivetime, Paid by Mile |
36.2%
|
0.0%
|
148
|
Earnings
The costs associated with the alternate proposals will largely be reflected
in changes in drivers pay.
Accordingly, a brief discussion of the level and method of drivers pay is warranted.
The UMTIP report
in the docket contains a more comprehensive discussion of driver pay.
While mean driver earnings are relatively high for somewhat skilled but generally
not highly educated
workers, drivers work an excessive number of hours to achieve their earnings
levels. While the average
driver earns more than $36,500 annually, he also works an average of about 3,300
hours per year to
do it. This is more than half again as many hours as the full time standard
year in the United States, and
considerably greater than 50 percent more hours than the average employee actually
works.
Table 10 shows that long haul drivers make less than regional drivers. This
is consistent with previous
research that showed that the lowest paid drivers worked for long-haul TL carriers.
That research
showed that rates for drivers working for regional carriers averaged 3 1 .O$
per mile while those working
for national carriers averaged 25.1# per mile. The highest pay rate went to
national LTL carriers at
40.16 per mile, while the mileage rate for national TL drivers was 22.76, 43%
less than national LTL
carriers (and they are generally not paid for their non-driving labor). (Belzer).
Table 10
Annual Wage
| Full Survey | Full Survey, Local | Full Survey, Regional | Full Survey, Long Haul | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| mean |
$
36,572
|
$
37,237
|
$
37,907
|
$
35,945
|
| 10th pct |
$
19,000
|
$
20,000
|
$
22,000
|
$
18,000
|
| 25th pct |
$
27,000
|
$
26,000
|
$
30,000
|
$
25,235
|
| median |
$
36,000
|
$
40,000
|
$
36,000
|
$
35,000
|
| 75th pct |
$
46,000
|
$
46,000
|
$
48,000
|
$
45,000
|
| 90th pct |
$
53,000
|
$
53,000
|
#
53,000
|
$
53,000
|
| Observations |
451
|
49
|
113
|
281
|
Owner-operators earn somewhat
less than do company drivers, suggesting profits may be quite low
(owner-operators often commingle these concepts). While median earnings are
the same, mean
earnings of owner-operators are about 5 percent lower than those of company
drivers. Owner
operators drive fewer miles and work fewer hours, as was noted above, but their
returns on capital
investment appear relatively low.
As previous research has shown, the most stiking difference in driver wages
comes from the influence
of unions. Collective bargaining clearly provides union drivers with great advantages
in comparison
with their non-union counterparts. Collective bargaining appears to provide
a nearly 26 percent
earnings advantage over the non-union employees. Since non-union employees also
work 8.3 percent
more hours, the real advantage may be closer to 34.3 percent, not including
the value of benefits (which
also is considerably higher for unionized employees). Data on owner-operators
and union employees
may be found in the UMTRI report in the public docket.
Most over-the-road drivers are paid on a contingent basis, that is, by the mile
or by a percentage of the
load revenue. The latter method is most common among owner-operators, who usually
act as
subcontractors for motor carriers. It also is common among non-union drivers,
but is relatively
uncommon for union drivers.
Night Driving
The UMTIP survey asks drivers how many hours they worked between the hours of
11 PM and 7
AM, commonly known as the graveyard shift. Drivers reported a relatively
small amount of night
driving, 29.0 percent at the mean. Local and long haul drivers put in a somewhat
smaller proportion of
their time in night driving, and regional drivers a higher proportion.
Option 3 proposes limiting night driving (defined as between 12:00 AM and 6:00
AM) to 18 hours per
driver per week. The average driver works 64.3 hours a week (Table 5), of which
26 percent (Table
7) is non-driving. Multiplying 64.3 by .74 suggests that the average driver
drives 47.6 hours per week.
Based on the last full trip information, the average driver in the
sample spends 29 percent of his or her
driving time between the hours of 11:00 p.m. and 7:00 a.m. (the hours asked
about in the survey). I f
we assume a uniform distribution of reported night driving over this period,
then we can estimate that
the average driver would have 75 percent of his overall night driving hours
in the policy-relevant six
hours (between midnight and 6 AM). We calculate that the average driver would
be driving 21.75
percent of his time during the proscribed hours 0.75 x 0.29). Using the sample
mean driving total of
47.6 hours, this suggests the average driver currently drives 10.4 hours during
the midnight to 6:00 AM
period each week, well within the prospective limits. UMTIP believes this figure
is conservative, since
they ended up adjusting their interview schedule because fewer drivers were
available to interview in
the early morning.
These calculations are based on the mean; depending on the characteristics of
those drivers exceeding
the mean either in hours worked or percent of night driving, these characteristics
might be different at
the extremes. For example, in the LTL sector most of the regional carriers
drivers operate through the
night, five days a week, but do so within the 60 hour weekly limit. In the national
LTL and in the
package delivery sector, tractor trailer combinations run throughout the night
as well as during the day.
The following tables show the percent of hours driven between midnight and 6
AM for different operational types.
Table 11
Estimated Night Percent
|
Local
|
Regional
|
Long
Haul
|
All
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| mean |
20%
|
23%
|
21%
|
21%
|
| median |
13%
|
20%
|
19%
|
19%
|
Table 12
Estimated Night Percent
| TR Emp | TR OOs | Emp Drive, Union | Emp Drive, Non-Union | Mileage Paid | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mean |
21%
|
23%
|
24%
|
21%
|
21%
|
| median |
19%
|
19%
|
23%
|
17%
|
18%
|
Chapter 3
Baseline Safety Analysis
The objective of this proposal is to reduce the number of fatigue-related truck
and motorcoach crashes.
The overall benefit will therefore depend on the current number of these crashes.
This section discusses
the number of fatigue-related truck accidents, in three parts. First, we discuss
existing estimates of the
number of fatigue-related truck crashes, and attempt to explain why these estimates
differ. Second, we
use the Trucks Involved in Fatal Accidents database to generate estimates of
fatigue-related truck
crashes by operation type, hours driving, and time of day. Finally, we present
adjusted estimate of the
number of fatigue-related truck crashes by operation type.
1) Existing Crash Estimates
There are significant differences in published estimates of the number and proportion
of fatigue-related
truck crashes. Much of the difference results from the differing analytical
approaches used, particularly
differences in the set of crashes analyzed. Generally speaking, these studies
can be divided into two
classes: those relying on large scale accident data tiles, and those based on
more intensive analysis of a
smaller number of crashes.
The FHWA and the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) have
conducted several
fatigue studies using large scale data bases, primarily the Fatality Analysis
Reporting System (FARS)
and the General Estimates System (GES). These databases, which are managed by
NHTSA, are
based largely (but not exclusively) on police accident reports (PARS). Most
police accident forms
contain a field for driver contributing factor, and among the choices are driver
fatigue, drowsiness, or
asleep at the wheel. In most analyses, crashes in which one of these fields
is checked are classified as
fatigue-related.
Crash analysts frequently criticize use of PARS for fatigue analysis, as they
assert that PARs understate
the true extent of fatigue. There are a number of difficulties police face in
determining whether fatigue
contributed to an accident. First, the responding officers primary concern
is assisting accident victims
and restoring the flow of traffic. Investigating the causes of the accident
is often a second (or lower)
level concern. Second, few police officers are trained in accident reconstruction,
and they therefore do
not have the training to conduct a detailed investigation of the physical and
mechanical evidence.
Therefore, many police officers must rely on eyewitness and other oral evidence.
This results in an additional problem. By the time an officer interviews surviving
crash-involved drivers,
any signs of fatigue are likely to have worn off. The stress of the crash produces
an adrenaline surge,
eliminating any traces of fatigue and in fact enhancing the drivers sense of
alertness and awareness and
acuity, at least for the short term.
Some analysts have argued that in two-vehicle truck-involved fatal crashes,
the investigating officer may
have to rely inordinately on the testimony of the truck driver, since the truck
driver is five times more
likely to survive a fatal crash than the driver of the other vehicle. The truck
driver has an obvious
incentive to minimize the role of fatigue in his actions, which could result
in underreporting of fatigue
involvement. However, a report on two-vehicle truck-involved crashes does not
find significant
evidence of a survivors bias. Dan Blower of the University of Michigan
Transportation Research
Institute (UMTRI) examined almost 5,500 two-vehicle truck and passenger vehicle
fatal crashes in
1994 and 1995. In 4,55 1 of these crashes, the passenger vehicle driver died
while the truck driver
survived. In these case, 82% of passenger vehicle drivers were coded for contributing
to the crash, as
opposed to only 24% of truck drivers. Truck drivers were the only fatality in
90 cases, and truck
drivers were coded in 58% of these cases, while passenger vehicle drivers were
only cited in 47% of
these crashes. This suggests some sort of survivors bias. However,
Blower notes that this explanation
is too simple, and he examined the larger number of fatal crashes where both
drivers survive. The car
driver is assigned a factor in 74% of these cases, and the truck driver in 34.5%.
The author notes that
If driver survival explained the overall preponderance of driver factors
for passenger vehicle drivers,
one would expect factors to be about equal where both survived, which
is not the case (Blower).
Smaller scale studies have a different set of problems, the most significant
of which is generalizability.
While limiting the number of accidents studied can allow for more in-depth analysis
of each specific
event, the results of these studies can not automatically be applied to all
crashes. Thus, the results of
the National Transportation Safety Boards (NTSB) 1995 study of single-vehicle
large truck roadway
departure crashes where the truck driver survived may not be applicable to crashes
which do not tit this
description.
Also, it is unclear what should be counted as a fatigue-related crash. Clearly
all crashes where fatigue
is cited should be included, but there are other crashes where fatigue may play
a less direct role.
Crashes involving inattention, distraction, or other driver failures may be
related to fatigue, as a sizeable
literature demonstrates that fatigued individuals are prone to a variety of
mental and physical errors.
Pilchers meta-analysis of 19 studies reveals that sleep deprivation
has a significant effect on human
functioning, with cognitive performance subsiding more than physical performance.
This supports
Brown, who argues that the main effect of fatigue is a progressive withdrawal
of attention from road
and traffic demands. This suggests that in some cases, mental errors cited
on a PAR may be the result
of fatigue. Dinges supports this logic, stating that A loss of 10 percent
in the detection of salient visual
stimuli (e.g., slow speed signage) and a 10 percent increase in
reaction time (e.g., stopping to avoid a
rear end collision) both of which can be demonstrated in even moderately sleepy
persons (Dinges
1992) may contribute to many traffic and work accidents that are otherwise attributed
to operator
inattention.
Not only does fatigue demonstrably diminish individuals performance, but the
type of errors made by
fatigued drivers are a major causal factor in crashes. For example, the classic
Indiana Tri-Level Study
of the Causes of Traffic Accidents (Treat et al.), perhaps the most in-depth
study ever performed in the
US on crash causation, found that recognition failure was involved
in 56% of the crash cases
analyzed. While driver drowsiness/fatigue was found to be a certain or probable
factor in only 2% of
the cases, 23% involved faulty visual surveillance, 15% involved inattention,
and 13% involved
distraction. More recent studies have also found high levels of inattention
and distraction. In a study of
nearly 700 Crashworthiness Data System (CDS) and GES crashes, Najm et al determined
that
recognition errors were the primary causes of 45% of the cases studied, compared
to 3.7% primarily
due to driver drowsiness (Najm et al). General Motor scientists reviewed over
1,000 PARs from
Michigan, and reported that 17% were attributable to daydreaming
and 18% to improper lookout,
with just 1% due to dozing (Deering). While these studies were not
limited to CMV crashes, they
demonstrate the prevalence of mental errors in crashes.
A recent study by the US Coast Guard also suggests that direct measurement of
fatigue may understate
its true extent. Coast Guard researchers developed a fatigue index,
based on the number of fatigue
symptoms reported, and the number of hours worked and slept in the 24 hours
prior to the incident.
Using this formula upped the percentage of critical vessel cases categorized
as fatigue related from 1.2
percent to 16 percent. For critical casualty cases, the fatigue index resulted
in an adjustment from 1.3
to 33 percent. These reports indicate the need to be expansive in defining fatigue
related incidents, and
the likelihood that measurements of fatigue based solely on accident reports
are likely to underestimate
the extent of fatigue (US Coast Guard).
The FHWA recently completed an analysis of large truck crashes related primarily
to driver fatigue, a
copy of which has been placed in the docket. This analysis reviewed existing
studies of fatigue related
crashes, by a variety of characteristics, including vehicle body type and crash
severity. Table 13,
reprinted from that study, shows that based on PARs, 1.98% of all fatal large-truck
involved crashes
were clearly indicated to be fatigue-related. Fatal to truck occupant only (FTO)
crashes were much
more likely to be fatigue-related, and crashes fatal to non-truck occupants
were significantly less likely
to have fatigue cited as a related factor. For all severity levels, tractor-trailer
combinations had a higher
rate of fatigue-related crashes than single-unit trucks.
Table 13
Large Truck Crashes and Percentages Associated with Truck Driver Fatigue, 1992-1997
Average Annual Crashes and Percentages
| Single-Unit Trucks | Combination-Unit Trucks | All Large Trucks | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crash Type |
Annual
Crashes
|
%
Fat Related
|
Annual
Crashes
|
%
Fat Related
|
Annual
Crashes
|
%
Fat Related
|
| All Police Reported |
165,000
|
0.17%
|
231,000
|
0.49%
|
392,000
|
0.36%
|
| All Fatal |
1,117
|
0.96%
|
3,190
|
230%
|
4,296
|
1.98%
|
| Fatal | ||||||