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Comprehensive Safety Analysis 2010
Listening Sessions
Agenda
- Introductions
- Background
- Purpose and Outcomes
- Plenary Session
- Current State: FMCSA's thoughts, Participants' thoughts
- Case for Change: FMCSA's thoughts, Participants' thoughts
- Future State: FMCSA's thoughts
- Break-out Groups
- Future State: Participants' thoughts
- Next Steps and Close-out
What Kind of Meeting Is This?
- Informational
- Decisional
- Creative / Brain Storming
What Kind of Meeting Is This?
- Today's meeting is a combination of Informational and Creative / Brain Storming
Ground Rules
- You are invited to express your thoughts openly and respectfully.
- Suspend judgment - respect others' perspectives.
- Avoid bogging down in "war stories."
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Express your ideas clearly and once. No need to be repetitive.
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No side bars, please.
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Please turn cell phones off and take calls outside the room.
Comprehensive Safety Analysis 2010
Background: The DOT Safety Goal
- U.S. Department of Transportation Goal
- No more than 1.0 fatality per 100 million vehicle miles traveled by the end of 2008.
- Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration's share of the Department's Goal
- 41% reduction in large truck fatality rate
by the end of 2008, which equates to no more than
1.65 fatalities per 100 million truck miles traveled.
Background: Exposure
- From 1992 - 2002
- Commercial Vehicles:
- VMT - 40% Increase
- Registered Vehicles - 30% Increase
- Passenger Vehicles:
- VMT - 25% Increase
- Registered Vehicles - 20% Increase
- Commercial vehicle crash exposure is increasing at a higher rate than passenger vehicles
Background: The Goal in Graphs
- Large Truck Fatality Rates, 1996 to 2008
- Fatality rate in truck related crashes has been on the decline for the past 6 years
- We believe this trend will continue and the agency will meet its safety goal
- We want to ensure we implement programs that continue this trend
Background: The Case for Change
- Increasing Carrier Population
- Interstate carriers have risen from 300,000 in 1985 to just about 700,000 in 2004
Background: The Case for Change
- FMCSA could increase scope of influence
- CRs currently cover less than 2% of the carrier population annually
Background: The Case for Change
- Increasing Freight Growth
- Domestic:
- 1998 - 13,000 million tons
- 2010 - 18,000 million tons
- 2020 - 22,500 million tons
- International:
- 1998 - 15,000 million tons
- 2010 - 12,000 million tons
- 2020 - 25,000 million tons
Background: FMCSA Tools
- Research and Data Analysis
- Regulation
- Outreach/Education
- Training
- Safety Monitoring
- Compliance Oversight
- Enforcement Actions
Background: Continuous Improvement
- FMCSA seeks continuous improvement
- Comprehensive Safety Analysis for 2010, or "CSA 2010."
- Preliminary thinking will be discussed today.
- CSA 2010 needs your best thinking!
Purpose
- Share FMCSA's preliminary thinking
- Get feedback from You!
- Develop sharper, clearer thinking about the best way to move forward
The Gameboard
- Current State
- Case For Change
- Future State
- Barriers between Current State and Future State
Outcomes
- Current state comments
- Thoughts on the case for change
- Future state ideas
- Insights into barriers to change
- Suggestions for reaching the future state
Listening Session
- Looking for feedback in the following areas
- Current State
- Case for Change
- Future State
- Barriers
- The Way Forward
The Current State: FMCSA's View
The Current State: Compliance Reviews
- The Compliance Review (CR) is based on adherence to laws and regulations
- The CR is the primary tool for assessing safety compliance.
- The CR is FMCSA's only tool for assigning safety fitness ratings .
The Current State: SafeStat
- Proven methodology
- Automated monitoring system
- Based on safety performance factors
- Always room for improvement
The Current State: The CR Process
- Takes 2-3 days
- Involves extensive review of paper
- Requires on site personal interaction
- Impacts motor carriers' daily operations
- Consists of six rating factors
- Focuses primarily on motor carriers
The Current State: Outcomes of CR Process
- Safety Ratings
- CR yields one of three ratings
- Based on safety performance
- Provides a snapshot in time - static result
- Unintended use - "Seal of Approval"
- Potentially Enforcement
- Civil penalties
- Operations out-of-service orders
The Current State: Results
- CRs are effective in:
- Educating Carriers about Compliance
- Reducing crashes - 6,500
- Avoiding injuries - 4,350
- Saving Lives - 273
The Current State: Other FMCSA Oversight Programs
- New Entrant Audits
- Roadside Inspections
- HM Permit Reviews
- Security Contact Reviews
- (Future) Mexican Carrier Safety Audits
The Current State: Challenges Going Forward
- Only one method for issuing safety ratings
- Resource intensive
- Narrow focus limits effectiveness
- Limited intervention options
- Targeting needs data improvements
The Current State: Participants' Views
The Current State: Participants' Views
- How do you experience FMCSA's oversight process?
- How effective is FMCSA's oversight process?
- What is working?
- Not working?
The Case for Change: FMCSA's View
The Case for Change: Why Change?
- What are the consequences of not changing?
- What are the
advantages
if we do change?
The Case for Change: Point #1
- To keep up with increasing volume
- Interstate Carriers rose from 300,000 in 1985 to just about 700,000 in 2004
The Case for Change: Point #2
- To meet increasing program demands
- New Entrants
- Mexican Carrier Registration
- Security Programs
- Hazardous Materials Permits
The Case for Change: Point #3
- FMCSA could increase scope of influence.
- CRs currently cover less than 2% of the carrier population annually.
The Case for Change: Point #4
- FMCSA could focus on entities beyond those with USDOT numbers
- Commercial motor vehicle drivers
- Individuals responsible for safety
- Other ... ?
The Case for Change: Point #5
- FMCSA could leverage its dependency on partners (States, medical community, etc.) to find new and mutually beneficial strategies.
The Case for Change: Summary
- Reasons why FMCSA needs a new approach in order:
- #1: To keep up with increasing volume
- #2: To meet increasing program demands
- #3: To expand scope of influence
- #4: To expand focus of safety assessments
- #5: To leverage dependency on partners
The Case for Change: Participants' View
Case for Change: Participants' Thoughts
- Point #1: To keep up with increasing volume
- Point #2: To meet increasing program demands
- Point #3: To expand scope of influence
- Point #4: To expand focus of safety assessments
- Point #5: Ro leverage dependency on partners
- Other?
LUNCH BREAK
- Enjoy your lunch!
- Get ready to hear FMCSA's thoughts and share your thoughts about the Future State in your Break-out Groups
The Future State
Moving to Future State
- We have visited the Current State
- We have made a Case for Change
- The Federal Register posed some specific questions about the Future State which are posted
- Today, we will take a broad
approach and invite your
creative ideas
In the Future ...
- How could it be different?
- Attributes of a model program?
- Who?
- What?
- How?
- When?
In the Future ...
- What are the Attributes of a model program?
- Flexible: Adaptable to changing environment
- Efficient: Maximize use of resources
- Effective: Improve safety performance
- Innovative: Leverage data and technology
- Equitable: Fair and unbiased
- Other ... ?
In the Future ...
- Who should be monitored?
- Motor carriers
- Drivers
- Key carrier officials (owners, safety directors, etc.)
- Other ...?
In the Future ...
- What should be assessed?
- Safety performance
- Crash indicators
- History
- Risk
- Operational characteristics
- Other ...?
In the Future ...
- How should FMCSA assess safety?
- Real time data
- Appropriate data sources
- Data driven algorithms
- Other ...?
- When should FMCSA assess safety?
- Daily?
- Monthly?
- Semi-annually?
- Snapshot in time?
- Other ...?
In the Future ...
- FMCSA will use safety assessments to improve safety through....
- Outreach, education
- Notifications of safety problems
- Focused CRs when appropriate
- Interventions
- Other? Who? What? How? When?
The Future State: Participants' Views
Future State: Participants' Views
Next Steps
- A report summarizing the results of these sessions will be posted to the docket:
[Docket No. FMCSA-2004-18898]
- FMCSA will use the input from these sessions during the development of a new operational model.
- FMCSA will post milestone status of CSA 2010 on the FMCSA internet home page (www.fmcsa.dot.gov)
- This is a continuous improvement process.
- Thank you for your participation!
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