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Analysis Division Highlights

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FMCSA Safety and Security Accomplishments

Office of Research and Analysis
Washington, DC
January 22, 2005

Analysis Division Highlights

Tom Keane
Acting Chief, Analysis Division

FMCSA Analysis Division

  • FMCSA Mission
    • Save lives and reduce injuries by preventing large truck and bus crashes
  • FMCSA Performance Goal
    • Reduce the large truck fatality rate by 41% from 1996 to 2008
  • Analysis Division Support
    • Economic Analysis of Regulations
    • Data Quality Improvements & Dissemination
    • Program Effectiveness Studies
    • Special Studies & Crash Data Analyses

Economic Analysis for Regulations

2005 Major Accomplishments

  • Hours of Service (Proposed Rule)
  • Hours of Service (Final Rule)
  • Unified Registration System (Proposed Rule)

Data Quality

2005 Major Accomplishments

  • Involves grant programs, studies, and other initiatives, with the objective to improve the quality of CMV data collected by the States and FMCSA
  • Primary focus is crash data improvement

Program Effectiveness

2005 Major Accomplishments

  • Compliance Review Model
    • Measures direct safety impacts of Compliance Reviews
      • Crashes prevented
      • Injuries avoided
      • Lives saved
    • No indirect (deterrent) effects included
    • Updated to include CY 2002 Compliance Reviews

Compliance Reviews

CY 2002 – 2003

OutputsResults
Crashes Avoided1,426
Injuries Avoided 1,087
Lives Saved 62

Roadside Intervention Model

  • Measures safety impacts
    • Roadside inspections
    • Traffic enforcements
  • Output
    • Crashes prevented
    • Injuries avoided
    • Lives saved
  • Results based on crash probabilities
  • Updated to include CY 2004 Interventions

Roadside Interventions

Intervention TypeCrashes PreventedInjuries Avoided Lives Saved
Roadside Inspections9,6067,004371
Traffic Enforcements9,0676,611351

Special Studies & Crash Data Analyses

2005 Major Accomplishments

  • Motor Carrier Industry Profile Study
    • Safety performance analysis by commodity segment
    • Safety-financial performance linkage study
  • Large Truck Crash Causation Study

Economic Analysis for Regulations

2006 Major Projects

  • Electronic On-Board Recorders (Proposed)
  • HOS Supporting Documents (Final)
  • New Entrant Safety Assurance (Proposed)
  • Intermodal Chassis Roadability (Proposed)

Program Effectiveness

2006 Major Projects

  • Violations Severity Assessment Study
    • Relationship between violations and crashes
    • Will serve as input to CSA 2010 Effort
    • May update Roadside Intervention Model

Special Studies and Analyses

2006 Major Projects

  • Large Truck Crash Causation Study
  • Bus Crash Causation Study
  • Motor Carrier Industry Profile Study
    • Complete Industry Technology & Safety Survey

Results of Studies Available

  • http://ai.fmcsa.dot.gov
    • "Analysis Results & Reports"
    • "Program Measures" (CR and RI Model Results)
  • Contact:
    • Tom Keane
    • Tom.Keane@fmcsa.dot.gov
    • Phone: (202) 366-4025


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